Research
Working Papers
Overvalued Equity and Investment: A Regression Discontinuity Approach Revise & resubmit, Journal of Finance
How does overvalued equity impact corporate investment? This paper examines a margin trading deregulation in China to identify substantial exogenous overpricing. Using a regression discontinuity design that exploits the proprietary ranking procedure, I find that firms with overpriced stocks due to quasi-random experiment eligibility double their investment. Moreover, overvalued firms increase both equity and debt issues, ruling out the financing channel as the sole mechanism. Consistent with the informational channel, investment reacts to overvaluation more when firms struggle to detect mispricing or when they have a stronger incentive to learn from the market.
Conferences: Wellington Finance Summit 2024
Structured Bias in Implied Cost of Capital: Theory, Evidence, and Research Implications with John S. Hughes and Jun Liu
Revise & resubmit, Review of Accounting Studies
We show that the implied cost of capital (ICC) can be a biased proxy for expected return, with the bias increasing in idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL) and expected growth. If not accounted for, this structured bias can lead to incorrect inferences about whether a firm characteristic represents a priced risk factor. Consistent with this concern, we find that commonly used disclosure measures, due to their inherent correlation with IVOL (but not with growth), exhibit a robust positive relation with ICC. We then propose and implement two simple bias-mitigation methods---controlling for model-implied bias drivers and subtracting an empirically estimated bias component from ICC---and find that the positive disclosure--ICC relation largely disappears once these adjustments are applied. Overall, the evidence underscores the importance of accounting for structured ICC bias when drawing ICC-based inferences about priced risk.
Conferences: CICF 2026 (scheduled), FARS 2025, CFEA 2024, HARC 2023, AES Weekly Webinars 2023
The Price of Voice: Retail Investor Engagement and Corporate Investment with Yongxin Xu and Zili Zhuang
Draft available soon.
Conferences: CICF 2026 (scheduled)
Reputation Incentives in Credit Card Debt Repayment: Evidence from a Field Experiment with Grace Wang and the BOCOM Research Center

